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Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Spotless Stadium
SF

Western Sydney
0 - 1
Sydney FC


Rudan (65')
Ngbakoto (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burgess (16')
Caballo (90+5'), Wood (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 Sydney FC

Both of these teams are heading into the game with confidence, and with it being a derby encounter there will be plenty of tension heading into this one. However, Western Sydney Wanderers will be seen as the favourites due to their league position, but also due to their dominance at home throughout this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawSydney FC
32.84% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08) 24.5% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 42.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.71% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.304 -0.3)44.08% (0.306 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.54% (-0.297 -0.3)66.47% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.194 -0.19)25.91% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (-0.265 -0.27)60.9% (0.268 0.27)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)20.77% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (-0.184 -0.18)53.41% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 32.84%
    Sydney FC 42.66%
    Draw 24.5%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.056 0.06)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.84%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 42.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, January 28 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, January 22 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 15 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-0 Western Sydney
Friday, January 6 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Macarthur
Sunday, January 1 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Central Coast
Saturday, February 4 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-2 Sydney FC
Thursday, January 26 at 7.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 21 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 14 at 11.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 7 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Sydney FC
Sunday, January 1 at 4am in Australian A-League


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