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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
34.23% ( 1.28) | 23.44% ( 0.29) | 42.33% ( -1.57) |
| Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( -1.01) | 38.59% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( -1.07) | 60.89% ( 1.08) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.23) | 22.51% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 0.34) | 56.08% ( -0.34) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -1.06) | 18.63% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -1.81) | 49.94% ( 1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.23% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.56% Total : 42.33% |
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