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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
48.92% ( 0) | 23.9% ( 0.03) | 27.18% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( -0.15) | 44.31% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.32% ( -0.15) | 66.68% ( 0.15) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.06) | 18.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( -0.1) | 49.24% ( 0.1) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% ( -0.1) | 29.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.09% ( -0.13) | 65.9% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.18% |
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