SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
49.32% ( 0.54) | 23.06% ( -0.04) | 27.62% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 60.7% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.18) | 40.1% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( -0.18) | 62.47% ( 0.19) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.52% ( 0.13) | 16.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.81% ( 0.24) | 46.19% ( -0.23) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( -0.44) | 27.32% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( -0.57) | 62.77% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.62% |
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