SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 28.59% | 23.95% | 47.47% |
| Both teams to score 58.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% | 43.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% | 65.96% |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% | 18.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% 1-0 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-1 @ 8.88% 0-2 @ 7.49% 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-3 @ 4.21% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.45% Total : 47.47% |
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