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Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 19, 2022 at 6.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
SF

Wellington
1 - 1
Sydney FC

Ball (43')
Sandoval (40'), Laws (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bobo (67')
Kamsoba (45+1'), Amini (74'), Caceres (78')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
28.59%23.95%47.47%
Both teams to score 58.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04%65.96%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58%28.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82%64.18%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49%18.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.26%49.73%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 28.59%
    Sydney FC 47.47%
    Draw 23.94%
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 7.02%
1-0 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 9.42%
0-1 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 7.49%
1-3 @ 5.3%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.23%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.47%

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