SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
39.61% ( -0.04) | 23.93% ( 0.05) | 36.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.24) | 40.6% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.24) | 62.99% ( 0.24) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.12) | 20.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.19) | 53.3% ( 0.19) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.11) | 22.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( -0.17) | 55.7% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.45% |
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