Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
