SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur |
34.72% ( 1.11) | 24.47% ( 0.13) | 40.8% ( -1.24) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -0.32) | 43.46% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.32) | 65.85% ( 0.31) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.48) | 24.51% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.68) | 58.97% ( -0.68) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( -0.71) | 21.37% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( -1.11) | 54.34% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
