SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
50.17% ( -1.07) | 22.53% ( 0.07) | 27.3% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% ( 0.51) | 37.85% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.9% ( 0.55) | 60.1% ( -0.54) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( -0.18) | 15.35% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.89% ( -0.34) | 44.11% ( 0.35) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.62% ( 0.98) | 26.38% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( 1.29) | 61.54% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.3% |
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