Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
