SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
22.46% ( 1.54) | 23.63% ( 0.63) | 53.91% ( -2.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.58% ( -0.9) | 47.42% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.36% ( -0.84) | 69.63% ( 0.84) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0.98) | 35.44% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.8% ( 1) | 72.2% ( -1.01) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -1.1) | 17.5% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( -1.96) | 48.01% ( 1.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.95% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.41)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.21)0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.27)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.67% Total : 53.91% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
