Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
