SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
31.31% ( 1.55) | 24.67% ( 0.21) | 44.03% ( -1.76) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.23) | 45.4% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -0.22) | 67.73% ( 0.22) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( 0.91) | 27.51% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.99% ( 1.16) | 63.01% ( -1.16) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.86) | 20.7% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.69% ( -1.37) | 53.31% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.31% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 44.03% |
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