Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
