Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
