SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
44.32% ( -0.08) | 24.15% ( 0.08) | 31.53% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.38) | 42.96% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( -0.38) | 65.36% ( 0.38) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.19) | 19.57% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.31) | 51.5% ( 0.31) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.19) | 26.17% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( -0.25) | 61.25% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.53% |
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