Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Western United had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.