SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Western United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.11% ( 0.13) | 24.82% ( 0.03) | 40.07% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -0.11) | 45% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( -0.11) | 67.35% ( 0.11) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.03) | 25.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% ( 0.03) | 59.67% ( -0.03) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -0.13) | 22.38% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.19) | 55.89% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.11% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.07% |
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