Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
