SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Al Fayha |
57.22% ( 1.81) | 22.07% ( -0.97) | 20.71% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 1.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.28% ( 3.24) | 42.72% ( -3.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( 3.15) | 65.12% ( -3.15) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( 1.73) | 14.71% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.1% ( 3.22) | 42.9% ( -3.22) |
| Al Fayha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 1.03) | 34.46% ( -1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 1.08) | 71.17% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Al Fayha |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.36)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.27)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.23)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.85% Total : 57.22% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.77)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.64)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.71% |
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