SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
34.55% ( 4.4) | 25.35% ( -0.48) | 40.1% ( -3.91) |
| Both teams to score 56.24% ( 3.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( 3.44) | 47.5% ( -3.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( 3.1) | 69.71% ( -3.1) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( 4.56) | 26.52% ( -4.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( 5.68) | 61.71% ( -5.68) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.42) | 23.47% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( -0.61) | 57.48% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.77)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.59)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.72)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.35)Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.55% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.94)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.49)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -1.49) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 6.54% ( -1.18)1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.1% |
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