Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.