Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
