Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Hoang Anh Gia Lai win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
