Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
