SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benin | Draw | Mozambique |
45.5% ( -0.01) | 23.85% ( 0) | 30.65% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 60.01% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.03) | 41.93% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -0.03) | 64.33% ( 0.02) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -0.02) | 18.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% ( -0.02) | 49.98% ( 0.02) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.02) | 26.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.68% ( -0.02) | 61.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benin | Draw | Mozambique |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.65% |
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