SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Rwanda |
49.49% ( -0.01) | 25.44% ( -0) | 25.07% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.62% ( 0.01) | 52.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( 0.01) | 74.06% ( -0.01) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0) | 21.18% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.94% ( -0) | 54.06% ( -0) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% ( 0.02) | 35.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.4% ( 0.02) | 72.59% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Rwanda |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 49.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.07% |
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