SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 66.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Benin had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Benin |
66.3% ( -0) | 21.83% ( -0) | 11.87% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.98% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( 0.01) | 56.7% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( 0.01) | 77.66% ( -0.01) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( 0) | 16.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( 0.01) | 46.17% ( -0) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.02) | 54.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.4% ( 0.01) | 87.6% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 16.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 14.6% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.79% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.11% Total : 66.28% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0)2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 5.44% 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 11.87% |
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