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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
 
EG

Botswana
2 - 3
Eq Guinea

Elias (38'), Seakanyeng (66' pen.)
Seakanyeng (7'), Gaolaolwe (61'), Orebonye (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nsue (13'), Ditsele (40' og.), Salvador (51')
Balboa (57')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Botswana and Equatorial Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawEquatorial Guinea
19.48% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 25.36% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 55.16% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 44.17% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.63% (-0.058 -0.06)57.37% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.81% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)78.19% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.79% (0.030999999999999 0.03)44.21% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.71% (0.026 0.03)80.29% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)20.84% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)53.52% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 19.48%
    Equatorial Guinea 55.15%
    Draw 25.36%
BotswanaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.024 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 19.48%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.21% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 14.44%
0-2 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.15%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 1-0 Botswana
Thursday, November 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 1-0 Botswana
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Botswana
Sunday, July 17 at 9am in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Botswana 2-0 Eswatini
Friday, July 15 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 12 at 4pm in COSAFA Cup
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-2 Togo
Tuesday, September 27 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Rwanda
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Libya
Monday, June 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Eq Guinea
Thursday, June 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Angola
Tuesday, March 29 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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