SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 19.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.33%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
19.48% ( 0.06) | 25.36% ( 0.04) | 55.16% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( -0.06) | 57.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( -0.05) | 78.19% ( 0.05) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.79% ( 0.03) | 44.21% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.71% ( 0.03) | 80.29% ( -0.03) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.06) | 20.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.1) | 53.52% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.48% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 14.44% 0-2 @ 11.33% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.15% |
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