Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Angola in this match.