Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
