Burkina Faso are the dark horses of the tournament and will be looking to continue their fairytale journey in search of their first AFCON title. However, standing in their way is a star-studded Senegal side who appear simply unstoppable at the moment. Taking into consideration the difference in quality between the two sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with the Lions of Teranga coming away with the win to make it to the final hurdle.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 22.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.96%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
