SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Togo had a probability of 10.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Togo win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Togo |
68.86% ( 0.01) | 20.48% ( 0.07) | 10.66% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 37.94% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.45) | 54.51% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% ( -0.37) | 75.87% ( 0.37) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0.14) | 14.89% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.76% ( -0.27) | 43.24% ( 0.27) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.58% ( -0.43) | 55.42% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.87% ( -0.26) | 88.13% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Togo |
| 1-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.48% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 10.66% |
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