SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Congo DR win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Ethiopia has a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (12.58%), while for a Ethiopia win it is 0-1 (8.62%).
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Ethiopia |
53.86% ( 0.14) | 27.7% ( -0.04) | 18.43% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 37.21% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.03) | 65.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.63% ( 0.02) | 84.37% ( -0.02) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( 0.08) | 24.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( 0.11) | 59.6% ( -0.11) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.59% ( -0.1) | 50.41% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.06% ( -0.07) | 84.94% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Ethiopia |
| 1-0 @ 17.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.94% Total : 53.85% | 0-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.43% |
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