SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 35.9%. A win for Tanzania has a probability of 35.01% and a draw has a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Tanzania win is 0-1 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.4%).
| Result | ||
| Ethiopia | Draw | Tanzania |
35.9% ( -1.34) | 29.09% ( -0.38) | 35.01% ( 1.72) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.85% ( 1.36) | 62.15% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.16% ( 0.99) | 81.85% ( -0.98) |
| Ethiopia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -0.16) | 32.92% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( -0.18) | 69.5% ( 0.18) |
| Tanzania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% ( 1.91) | 33.51% ( -1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.86% ( 2.03) | 70.14% ( -2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ethiopia | Draw | Tanzania |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.69) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.09% | 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.47% Total : 35.01% |
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