SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Algeria |
22.46% ( 0) | 27.47% ( 0) | 50.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.48% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.4% ( -0.01) | 61.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.56% ( -0.01) | 81.44% ( 0.01) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.52% ( -0) | 43.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( -0) | 79.69% ( 0) |
| Algeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.01) | 24.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -0.01) | 59.45% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Algeria |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.22% 2-0 @ 3.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.46% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 15.04% 0-2 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 50.07% |
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