Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for Malawi has a probability of 34.53% and a draw has a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Malawi win is 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.48%).
