Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.
Result | ||
South Sudan | Draw | Gambia |
17.51% (![]() | 26.14% (![]() | 56.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.89% (![]() | 62.11% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.18% (![]() | 81.82% (![]() |
South Sudan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.6% (![]() | 49.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.76% | 84.23% (![]() |
Gambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.7% (![]() | 22.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.24% (![]() | 55.75% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
South Sudan | Draw | Gambia |
1-0 @ 7.77% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.51% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 11.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 16.52% 0-2 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.33% |
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