SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Malawi has a probability of 29.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Malawi win is 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.81%).
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Burkina Faso |
29.3% ( -0.02) | 27.11% ( -0.02) | 43.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.73% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% ( 0.07) | 56.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( 0.05) | 77.32% ( -0.05) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( 0.02) | 34.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% ( 0.02) | 71.2% ( -0.02) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( 0.05) | 25.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( 0.07) | 60.51% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.59% |
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