SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cape Verde win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Mauritania has a probability of 33.36% and a draw has a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Mauritania win is 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.15%).
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Cape Verde |
33.36% ( -0) | 28.02% ( -0) | 38.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.49% | 58.5% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.91% | 79.08% ( -0) |
| Mauritania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% | 69.27% ( -0) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% | 29.39% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% | 65.38% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritania | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.36% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.61% Total : 38.61% |
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