SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Benin had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Benin |
38.68% ( 0.22) | 28.41% ( -0.09) | 32.91% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0.3) | 59.98% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.78% ( 0.23) | 80.22% ( -0.23) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( 0.28) | 30.08% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( 0.33) | 66.22% ( -0.33) |
| Benin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( 0.07) | 33.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% ( 0.07) | 70.46% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Benin |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.91% |
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