SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 46.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.83%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Angola |
24.46% ( -0.16) | 28.95% ( 0.3) | 46.59% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 40.75% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.21% ( -1) | 64.79% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.26% ( -0.71) | 83.74% ( 0.71) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% ( -0.74) | 43.36% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.4% ( -0.62) | 79.6% ( 0.62) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( -0.55) | 28.06% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( -0.7) | 63.71% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.01% Total : 24.46% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 15.46% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.56% Total : 46.58% |
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