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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
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Mozambique
0 - 1
Senegal

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dia (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mozambique 0-2 Senegal

Senegal are one of only four teams with a 100% AFCON qualifying record so far and will back themselves to continue their fine run. While Tuesday's visitors may be unable to replicate their landslide victory from four days ago, we are backing them to get the job done once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
12.85% (0.0039999999999996 0) 23.64% (-0.135 -0.13) 63.51% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 36.22% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (0.421 0.42)60.77% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (0.316 0.32)80.82% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.68% (0.263 0.26)55.32% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.93% (0.158 0.16)88.07% (-0.155 -0.16)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (0.212 0.21)18.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55% (0.351 0.35)50.45% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 12.85%
    Senegal 63.5%
    Draw 23.63%
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 12.85%
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 17.43% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 14.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.05% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.35% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.028 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 3-1 Mozambique
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Algeria
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 0-0 Senegal (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 4 at 7.30pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Madagascar
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Congo DR
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Uganda
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in African Nations Championship


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