SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Senegal |
12.85% ( 0) | 23.64% ( -0.13) | 63.51% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 36.22% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( 0.42) | 60.77% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( 0.32) | 80.82% ( -0.31) |
| Mozambique Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.26) | 55.32% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.93% ( 0.16) | 88.07% ( -0.16) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( 0.21) | 18.94% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( 0.35) | 50.45% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mozambique | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.85% | 0-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.17) 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 17.43% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 14.5% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.5% |
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