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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Regional de Nyamirambo
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Rwanda
0 - 1
Libya


Manzi (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al Hadi Saeed (84')
Al Woheshi (61'), Saleh (70'), Al Shareef (90+1'), Al Dawi (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Rwanda 1-0 Libya

Rwanda have been solid in the two home matches they have played in the AFCON qualifiers, and we believe that their home form will help them edge what is expected to be a tight affair against a Libyan side fighting to remain in contention for a place at the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.4%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
RwandaDrawLibya
56.59% (0.0020000000000024 0) 26.87%16.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 36.22% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)84.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)23.57% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)86.4% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Rwanda 56.58%
    Libya 16.53%
    Draw 26.87%
RwandaDrawLibya
1-0 @ 17.92%
2-0 @ 12.94%
2-1 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.01%
4-0 @ 2.25%
4-1 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 56.58%
0-0 @ 12.4%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 2.56%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 16.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 3-0 Rwanda
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Rwanda
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Benin 1-0 Rwanda
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Libya
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Libya
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Libya 2-1 Mauritius
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies


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