SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 79.75%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 4.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.82%) and 3-0 (13.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.65%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Liberia |
79.75% ( 0.03) | 15.3% ( -0.03) | 4.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 27.58% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.4% ( 0.05) | 52.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% ( 0.05) | 74.25% ( -0.04) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( 0.02) | 11.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.51% ( 0.05) | 35.49% ( -0.05) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 31.02% ( -0) | 68.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.4% ( -0) | 94.59% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Liberia |
| 2-0 @ 18.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 16.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 79.73% | 0-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 15.3% | 0-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 4.95% |
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