South Africa have dominated this fixture to a large degree and will be seeking to exact revenge for an agonising loss in the most recent edition. We fancy the home side to cruise to a routine victory come the sound of the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
53.46%	25.2%	21.34%

Both teams to score 47.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18%

54.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88%

76.12%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49%

20.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47%

53%

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.29%

40.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.7%

77.3%

Score Analysis

South Africa 53.46%

Mozambique 21.34%

Draw 25.19%

South Africa	Draw	Mozambique
1-0 @ 13.23% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.46%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.34%