Currently on a poor run of results, Liberia and Malawi will be looking to find their feet and get their qualifying campaign off to a fine start. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 66.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 11.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.81%) and 0-3 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malawi in this match.
-0.09) 
0.66) 
