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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2024 at 10pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
LN

Djibouti
0 - 2
Liberia

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sangare (23' pen.), Dorley (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Eq Guinea
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Djibouti 0-1 Liberia

Liberia are the better side in this fixture and should edge this fixture. The game will be played in a neutral ground in Morocco, which means home support will be limited for Djibouti. However, it should be a close game as the hosts have improved since their last meeting. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.

Result
DjiboutiDrawLiberia
34.91% (0.0010000000000048 0) 22.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 42.14% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 65.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)58.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05%20.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36%17.64% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.76%48.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Djibouti 34.91%
    Liberia 42.14%
    Draw 22.95%
DjiboutiDrawLiberia
2-1 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-2 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.05%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.22%
1-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.4%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 42.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Djibouti 0-1 Guinea-Bissau
Monday, November 20 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Egypt 6-0 Djibouti
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Pakistan 1-3 Djibouti
Saturday, June 17 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Djibouti 3-1 Mauritius
Wednesday, June 14 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Niger 7-2 Djibouti
Monday, November 15 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Eq Guinea
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Malawi
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Liberia
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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