SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djibouti | Draw | Liberia |
34.91% ( 0) | 22.95% ( -0) | 42.14% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.11% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.02% ( 0) | 35.98% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.93% ( 0) | 58.07% ( -0) |
| Djibouti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% | 20.94% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( 0) | 53.69% ( -0) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% | 17.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.76% | 48.24% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djibouti | Draw | Liberia |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.91% | 1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 4.02% Total : 42.14% |
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