SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 25.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liberia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liberia.
| Result | ||
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Liberia |
25.33% ( 0.05) | 26.94% ( -0) | 47.74% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.2% ( 0.05) | 57.8% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.47% ( 0.04) | 78.53% ( -0.04) |
| Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.42% ( 0.07) | 38.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( 0.07) | 75.33% ( -0.07) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0) | 24.27% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( -0) | 58.63% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Liberia |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.43% Total : 47.74% |
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