SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
22.87% ( 0.82) | 26.83% ( -0.05) | 50.3% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 44.53% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.84% ( 0.83) | 59.17% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( 0.64) | 79.6% ( -0.63) |
| Liberia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.35% ( 1.3) | 41.66% ( -1.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.87% ( 1.12) | 78.14% ( -1.11) |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( 0.01) | 23.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( 0.02) | 57.79% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liberia | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.87% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 14.2% ( -0.45) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( -0.32)1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.29% |
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