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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
EG

Liberia
0 - 1
Eq Guinea


Kenneh (27')
Kenneh (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nsue (9')
Miranda (38'), Salvador (52'), Owono (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Malawi
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Liberia 0-2 Equatorial Guinea

Equatorial Guinea have enjoyed a brilliant year and will be looking to end the calendar on a positive note. The Nzalang Nacional head into the game as the more in-form side and we are backing them to come away with all three points against Liberia who have lost their last five outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Equatorial Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Equatorial Guinea.

Result
LiberiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
22.87% (0.816 0.82) 26.83% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 50.3% (-0.764 -0.76)
Both teams to score 44.53% (0.997 1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84% (0.829 0.83)59.17% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.635 0.64)79.6% (-0.631 -0.63)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.35% (1.299 1.3)41.66% (-1.296 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.87% (1.118 1.12)78.14% (-1.115 -1.11)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.67% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)57.79% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Liberia 22.87%
    Equatorial Guinea 50.29%
    Draw 26.82%
LiberiaDrawEquatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.45% (0.217 0.22)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 1.59% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.085 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.87%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 14.2% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-2 @ 10.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.076 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Malawi
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ghana 3-1 Liberia
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 1-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Namibia
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-0 Burkina Faso
Friday, October 13 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-0 Tunisia
Saturday, June 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Botswana 2-3 Eq Guinea
Tuesday, March 28 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Botswana
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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